Grin and Bear It: Agreeing with Goldman for Once

Tags

, ,

Hey, it’s time. Really, we’re overdue. So says The Goldman Sachs

A Goldman Sachs Group Inc. indicator designed to provide a “reasonable signal for future bear-market risk” has risen to the highest in almost 50 years. The firm’s Bull/Bear Index, which is based on measures of equity valuation, growth momentum, unemployment, inflation and the yield curve, is now at levels last seen in 1969. While the gauge is at levels that have historically preceded a bear market, Goldman strategists including Peter Oppenheimer wrote in a note last week that a long period of relatively low returns from stocks is a more likely alternative.

Yes, per the graph we are in the longest run in modern history. Also, pay attention to the percentages and when they were the highest.

800x-1

Driving the Young People

Tags

, , , ,

Away from cars:

Did you know the average cost of car insurance for a 16-year-old is almost $3,000 annually? This assumes assuming no tickets, no accidents and a good scholastic record. Yes, they actually check the kid’s grades and use that as a metric for determining his “risk profile,” just as adult drivers are dunned by the insurance mafia if their credit score isn’t top-shelf, regardless of their driving record.

So, a $250 per month cost-of-entry before the car even leaves the driveway. Before the kid puts gas in the thing.

Faced with this extortion – and that’s exactly the right word; there’s no choice about paying the $250 per month, if the kid wants to drive legally – many simply opt out. A record-high percentage of 16-25-year-olds haven’t even got a driver’s license and forget the car. They stay home instead, game and text. When they need to get somewhere, they ride share or Uber or something that doesn’t require them to spend a minimum of 20-25 hours working at minimum wage (currently $7.25 per hour) gig hauling pizzas or some such just to tithe the mafia.

Towards Insanity:

New survey shows 75 percent of students at U.S. colleges have battled significant stress in the past year, leading 1 in 5 to consider suicide

BOSTON — For some, it’s the best four years of their lives. For others, it’s a period of constant struggle, whether academically, socially, or both. College brings about new experiences and challenges for young adults that can be difficult to adapt to and overcome, so perhaps it’s no surprise that a new study reports high rates of stress and mental health conditions among students.

The newly-published report out of Brigham and Women’s Hospital shows that a quarter of college students received were diagnosed with a mental health condition in the past year, and a fifth have had suicidal thoughts.

Maybe it’s just me but it seems like the old days (you know, waaaaaay back in the 70’s and 80’s) weren’t that bad. 16 was drive time and people were a little more … normal. Anyone for going back to that?

Pavlov’s Bell Stimulates a Response

Tags

, , , , , ,

Look for the 25th Movement to go about as far as Impeachment.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) said Thursday she believes it’s time for White House officials to invoke the 25th Amendment and begin the process of removing President Trump from office.

The comments come one day after a blistering op-ed published in The New York Times by an anonymous senior administration official that blasted Trump as amoral and “anti-democratic” and said staffers must constantly rebut the president’s “misguided impulses” and “worst inclinations.”

“If senior administration officials think the president of the United States is not able to do his job, then they should invoke the 25th Amendment,” Warren told CNN.
“The Constitution provides for a procedure whenever the vice president and senior officials think the president can’t do his job. It does not provide that senior officials go around the president — take documents off his desk, write anonymous op-eds. … Every one of these officials have sworn to uphold the Constitution of the United States. It’s time for them to do their job,” she added.

The author of the Times op-ed said the idea of removing Trump from office had already been floated by his top aides.

Fake news begets fake crisis? In the 1% off chance this moves forward, watch out. It has no chance of success. However, if played out, it could easily precipitate something hot, something we haven’t seen in 153 years.

Nuts.

That and slightly more in today’s PNW:

P/YT.

TPC – ‘Story Hour’ Drags On

Tags

, , , ,

Friends, sometimes the topics come easy. This weekend, as usual, I pondered over a few subjects. We have the funny money and the ticking debt bomb. There are the increasingly believable and patriotic-looking “Q” men and the hope they bring to the downtrodden. (“Soon” indeed). There’s The Fall of Gondolin. So many affairs national.

Then, as sometimes happens, I read a simple story: in The Hill by Megan Keller: ‘Drag Queen Story Hour’ sparks protests in rural, Southern towns. The Chronicles being based in one of those Southern towns, I figured we could have our own protest. I’ll lead.

The concept is as simple as it is insidious:

READ THE WHOLE COLUMN AT TPC

Trading Liberty for “Security” and Insanity

Tags

, , ,

Over 40 crowd, remember when it was different? John Whitehead lists some of the more outrageous problems faced by young Americans today, courtesy of Lew Rockwell’s site:

By the time the average young person in America finishes their public school education, nearly one out of every three of them will have been arrested.

More than 3 million students are suspended or expelled from schools every year, often for minor misbehavior, such as “disruptive behavior” or “insubordination.”

Black students are three times more likely than white students to face suspension and expulsion.

Zero tolerance policies that were intended to make schools safer by discouraging the use of actual drugs and weapons by students have turned students into suspects to be treated as criminals by school officials and law enforcement alike, while criminalizing childish behavior.

For instance, 9-year-old Patrick Timoney was sent to the principal’s office and threatened with suspension after school officials discovered that one of his LEGOs was holding a 2-inch toy gun.

#LegoControl…

Seriously, it doesn’t have to be like this. It wouldn’t, shouldn’t be all that hard to dial things back a few decades.

I’d like to play a small part in the solution to these issues. You?

Why No One Likes or Trusts the MSM

Tags

, , , , ,

So last week THEY told us that “Q” is a fiction, a crazed conspiracy theory that no one believes. Uh, but everyone still hates even though it’s not real or, at worst, is just some anonymous and untrustworthy Dept. of Energy hack

“Q” is supposedly a high-ranking official in the Energy Department with a high-level security clearance. “Q,” the theory goes, is working for Trump and against the supposed “deep state.”

It is possible, of course, that opinions might look different outside of Florida. But nevertheless, we suspect that these basic findings would hold. In short, the QAnon movement appears neither well-known nor well-liked by Floridians in either party. Those who support QAnon most strongly are people for whom conspiracies lurk behind every corner.

See, it’s totally not real. Only a lurking nut in Florida would believe it.

THIS, on the other hand – this completely anonymous and utterly unverifiable and as self-congratulatory as it is self-defeating stuff is really really REAL. (Would the NYT every lie??)

So real they need a virtual reality disclaimer and a call for inquiries.

The Times today is taking the rare step of publishing an anonymous Op-Ed essay. We have done so at the request of the author, a senior official in the Trump administration whose identity is known to us and whose job would be jeopardized by its disclosure. We believe publishing this essay anonymously is the only way to deliver an important perspective to our readers. We invite you to submit a question about the essay or our vetting process here.

I almost asked if they were accepting other short works of fiction but I’m not in the habit of commenting on other people’s blogs. Sorry, Slim.

Trump responded Trump style.

Now, as for real journalism … the One and Only Alex Jones! Live today from Mordor. You simply must watch the videos. On his First Amendment quest, AJ successfully hammered home the importance of free speech, the free press, and the proper redress of grievances. All in hilarious fashion!

Always Ahead Here

Tags

, ,

You’re here because you like being ahead of the curve. Always. Years ahead. Almost. Sometimes…

For instance:

Nullification and Secession: Solutions or Talking Points?
An excellent legal treatise by James Ronald Kennedy, Sept. 3, 2018.

-or-

Interposition, Nullification, and Secession, Perrin, Fed. 25, 2013.

I’m more than happy when people pile on … even five and a half years behind…

Seriously – a great work – read Kennedy’s piece:

I belong to the tribe that believes nullification and secession are the only real solutions to the current out of control supreme federal government. To demonstrate the validity of my belief, I will pose and answer three fundamental questions: (1) Are the concepts of state nullification and secession legitimate American political principles? (2) Is the current supreme federal government a legitimate governing authority? and (3) Would the modern-day acceptance of state nullification and secession be so unworkable that it would destroy the United States?

Lincoln answered the first question—whether state secession is a constitutional right—with a firm negative and enforced his opinion with legions of bloody bayonets. But Lincoln (1861) was not one of America’s (1776) founding fathers; therefore, his opinion pales to insignificance when compared to the actual words of the founding fathers. Even the High Federalist Alexander Hamilton was forced to admit that the Sovereign States had the right to protect their citizens from an abusive federal government:

Are these (and interposition) really viable solutions? Who knows? But it’s great to further the consideration and debate.

 

Health Bits, Physical and Mental

Tags

, , , ,

WHO: 1.4 Billion adults unnecessarily at risk.

More than 1.4 billion adults are putting themselves at heightened risk of deadly diseases by not getting enough exercise, doctors are warning, with global activity levels virtually unchanged in nearly two decades.

With richer nations enjoying an increasingly comfortable, sedentary lifestyle, a study by the World Health Organization said a third of women and a quarter of men worldwide are in the firing line for killer conditions such as heart disease, diabetes and cancer unless they up their physical activity.

NHS: Four out of Five Adults Unhealthy.

Leading doctors said the number of people with a heart “older” than their actual age was “really alarming” and should spur people to quit smoking, eat better and exercise more. The revelation reflects in part Britain’s high levels of obesity and physical inactivity and previously high smoking rate.

Almost four-fifths (78%) of more than 1.9 million people in England who have taken Public Health England’s new online “heart age test” were found to have a heart that was older than their chronological age.

A third (34%) of those who answered the 16-question survey turned out to have a heart age that was at least five years above their actual age, while for one in seven (14%), it was at least 10 years higher.

Normally I don’t put too much stock in socialist studies and findings. These, however, fit with the trends. Note: I took the survey and found it a little off – though my heart age, by their standards, coincides with my actual age. Good enough.

Also, we know that physical condition and mental condition are somewhat related. So, it’s interesting the way the following story was contexted: Cognitive Power Peaks in Autumn.

Human cognitive powers have a seasonal rhythm, and for those living in temperate regions in the northern hemisphere they are strongest in late summer and early autumn. The effect is large enough to tip some older people over the diagnostic threshold for dementia if their cognitive tests are carried out in winter or spring.

Andrew Lim, a neurologist at the Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre at the University of Toronto, and his colleagues analysed data from 3500 participants aged 60 or over. All of them had undergone tests …

I’ve known this, about myself, for about two decades. Mentally, I get more done in the mid to late fall. This, in miniature, mirrors the boost to IQ usually experienced in the mid 20’s (maybe +5%). Some facets of mental prowess may increase around age 60, just in time for the afore-noted conditions to set in.

It’s interesting, given the demographic changes in aging populations, that they framed the study in terms of dementia rather than peak power for the younger generations. Either way, in a week or two you should feel a little smarter. Use it to arrest the disease risk. That will stave off many conditions – possibly to include dementia. This is a self-feeding loop. Work it, folks.

The Ugly Truth About Facebook, Tech, and The Relentless March to Power and Control

Tags

, , , , , , ,

Making Orwell look weak by comparison.

Today I am more gladder than ever that I has Deleted the Facebook account… Those you still hanging out there – may God bless you. And protect you. The thing and associated matters get worse daily and they have been worse than we have known from the start.

Zuck and Co. monkeyed with the algorithm. Information was distorted and redirected. Sales, traffic, etc. went down. I and other writers I know took substantial hits. Many small businesses were affected and have accordingly jumped ship.

“One of the Facebook policy changes that kind of went under the radar and it went into effect in February was the branded content policy. And it decreased my income from Facebook by 60 percent, overnight. No explanation.” said Holly Homer, an entrepreneur from Texas who owns the Facebook pages for “Quirky Mama” and “Kids Activities.”

I’m grateful for the AI shunning as it made the decision to leave the collective so much easier. Thanks, Zucker!

But the loss of clicks isn’t the bad part. This is:

3b87a426488c5bf7ae5da034ddff612d1525e59856dc6239523380648a12c01a

“Q.” I have no doubts that this is true.

The companies are the government and the government is the companies. They, all of them – for whatever reasons, want total control. The Gubmits gonna get it too:

A pact of five nation states dedicated to a global “collect it all” surveillance mission has issued a memo calling on their governments to demand tech companies build backdoor access to their users’ encrypted data — or face measures to force companies to comply.

The international pact — the US, UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand, known as the so-called “Five Eyes” group of nations — quietly issued the memo last week demanding that providers “create customized solutions, tailored to their individual system architectures that are capable of meeting lawful access requirements.”

This kind of backdoor access would allow each government access to encrypted call and message data on their citizens. If the companies don’t voluntarily allow access, the nations threatened to push through new legislation that would compel their help.

It’s more like one, all-seeing eye, really. And these five criminal states … we have heard of them and their activities before. They’ve been in the all-access spy business for decades. We, some of us, have known about it for at least 20 years. (I know, in retrospect, feel somewhat foolish for every trusting these interwebs). (You’re safe here though – keep clicking!).

And there are more stories than these. Track. Control. Profit. Repeat. Surely the cat videos are worth it.

Maybe this explains away part of the perplexing drop in productivity these past few years.

The only possible output of this system is extortion as a way of life.

As the accompanying chart shows, productivity in the U.S. has been declining since the early 2000s. This trend mystifies economists, as the tremendous investments in software, robotics, networks and mobile computing would be expected to boost productivity, as these tools enable every individual who knows how to use them to produce more value.

Extortion with cat videos. And dinner pics.

Following the money (fiat), with all these distractions and controls it’s easy for many to miss history repeating itself.

Like, share, and type “Amen!”