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PERRIN LOVETT

~ Deo Vindice

PERRIN LOVETT

Tag Archives: recession

With Recoveries Like These…

01 Monday Aug 2016

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

America, banksters, economy, Federal Reserve, government, money, politicians, recession, Ron Paul

Friday the Commerce Department, as reported by the Wall Street Journal, officially confirmed what many have known for some time – the current, post-financial crisis, recession “recovery” is one of the longest in modern history and THE weakest.

Even seven years after the recession ended, the current stretch of economic gains has yielded less growth than much shorter business cycles.

In terms of average annual growth, the pace of this expansion has been by far the weakest of any since 1949. (And for which we have quarterly data.) The economy has grown at a 2.1% annual rate since the U.S. recovery began in mid-2009, according to gross-domestic-product data the Commerce Department released Friday.

For so many it feels like the recession never ended. This, by the way, was the recession that they never actually admitted had begun. Remember that? The lies? “Bankin’ industry’s never been stronger!” – even as it teetered on the edge of total collapse.

The WSJ provides several informative graphs. In describing the graphs they lay off of the “recovery” talk and correctly label the upward-trending parts of the business cycle as “expansions”. Except, there hasn’t been much of the upward of late.

nimbus-image-1470051868389

That’s us, over far right, the littlest bar. WSJ/Commerce Dept.

You’ll immediately note that as time goes by the recoveries (expansions) are steadily getting weaker. This graph notes annual GDP changes. Their next graph shows cumulative changes over decades or, rather, between recessions. By that one, America’s best days were in the 1960s and the 80s/90s. Of course, that particular graph allows one to compute a rough average time between recessions.

Yes, the current “recovery” started seven years ago but the precipitating recession started nearly nine years back. Recovered or not, we’re overdue for another recession. Nice, huh?

This story and the graphs show the strength (or lack thereof) of recovery, not the magnitude of the recessions. The financial crisis was huge. We’re nowhere near being made whole again. And now the entire economy is changing.

If any of the forgoing alarms you (you awake, out there?), you may lay the blame for your concerns at the feet of our friends at the Federal Reserve and our trusty “servants” in Washington. In a world with a responsible government and without a central bank cartel (the USA before 1913) recoveries were as sudden and short-lived as the recessions – both merely punctuated periods of steadier growth. Growth without the benefit of Fed funny money.

Not content with the status quo the Fed and the criminals in D.C. set out to “manage”the economy, which the Fed accomplishes in much the same way a bad drunk “manages” a car. (It goes really, really fast …. until it hits a tree).

Part of their brilliant management scheme for the past nine years has been to foster ridiculous government spending while simultaneously flooding banks (not just American ones) with cash. The banks have not released much to the general economy. Rather, they have played Monopoly and roulette with derivatives and other gambles of their own making. They haven’t played too well, either. Currently there is a race to see which major bank will collapse under its own weight first. Right now it looks like Deutsche Bank but who knows? Then comes another financial crisis. Recession. More funny money. Rinse and repeat.

qVrsoXi

Reddit.

Those of you who wasted your time watching THE party’s two political conventions, with all the blabbing about seemingly everything, may remember hearing nothing about these issues. They certainly don’t have any solutions to offer. Ron Paul did but the masses wrote him off as crazy and unelectable. Now we have a recovery which is crazy and unsalvageable.

Happy August the first!

Getting The Business

20 Wednesday Jul 2016

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Getting The Business

Tags

America, banks, business, corporations, economy, government, Perrin Lovett, recession, small business, start-ups, Wall Street

Money reports there were fewer small business start-ups these days in America:

Bad news for aspiring entrepreneurs: Now might not be the best time to launch your own business.

Total entrepreneurial activity in the U.S.—measured by the number of people starting and operating new businesses—fell to 12% in 2015, from 14% in 2014, according to a report released Tuesday by Babson College. The drop reverses upward growth in small business activity during the previous four years.

The findings could indicate that employees are satisfied with their jobs and unwilling to strike out on their own. But the research could also show a lack of confidence in the small business environment in the wake of the recession, Babson professor Donna Kelley told CNBC. The Small Business Optimism Index, a metric from the National Federation of Independent Business, has remained below its 42-year average since the recession.

I find it interesting that commentators keep throwing around “since the last recession” and “the wake of the recession” so much. Are they talking about the 2008 financial crisis recession? You know, the one that will soon be a decade past. Or do they really mean the current or immediate future recession? We are historically overdue.

Ebay.

This story is a little personal for me as I launched (full-time) my small business this summer. I’ve had several in the past – all failures. This time will be different (as I’ve said before). A business idea, even if it’s the very best idea in the world, isn’t easy to get off the ground anymore. Big, existing, and stagnant business dinosaurs join with the government to make the start-up process as painful as possible.

Aside from the licenses, taxes, regulations, inspections, prohibitions, and general meddling, the corporatist/banking/state cabal has seen to it that your potential customers and investors are not in the best position to help you with your incredible idea launch – they too still recover from “the last recession”.

You’ve got the likes of Speaker Paul Ryan who promises to crack down on job-taking and nightclub-shooting immigrants just after he rubber-stamps another 300,000 of them coming in on visas.

It’s amazing that any small business starts today. I’m not so sure about that idea of employee satisfaction with existing work. CNBC reports on the woes of “regular” employment, the loss of jobs and pay, even on Wall Street. This story deals with Wall Street banks – those very entities that OWN America… If their employees are getting the short end of the stick, what does that suggest about the rest of the workforce?

Anyway, I’m plowing ahead with my new enterprise. Of late I have finally developed an email list of sorts. Someone important once said, “You’re an idiot if you don’t have a list.” I was an idiot up until last week… In my defense, I was still recovering “from the recession.”

No Debate

11 Thursday Feb 2016

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

America, Economic collapse, election, Federal Reserve, government, politicians, recession

I haven’t wasted any of my time watching the Presidential debates this year. After each one, usually the next day, I catch snipetts of the various lies told. It all seems scripted, routine and disingenuous to me. They all talk about themselves, each other, more wars we won’t win, and how the government can help us.

One thing no politician since Ron Paul has mentioned is the dreadful state of the economy and how the government helped it get that way.

A few months ago, against conventional wisdom, I said we were moving into a recession. Now people are starting to agree with me. Analysts, pundits, economists, bankers, even Janet Yellen are now muttering the “R” word. Week by week the chatter intensifies. Week by week the measure of everything, except gold, falls. I’m sure at least one rodent candidate must have said something but none of them can say anything substantial.

They can’t and they won’t because they do not understand what is happening and because they are part of the problem (they and their corporate masters).

All economies move in cycles, expansions and contractions. In a free market, absent central banking and government interference, corrections (recessions and depressions) fix themselves in rapid fashion. Only central planning can slow or intensify bad times. In the early 1920s America experienced a severe depression; it lasted a year, yielding to “roaring” good times. Another depression struck in 1929. This time, aided by the unholy alliance of the Federal Reserve and the Federal government, the bad times lasted about 15 years.

Back then there was an economy to recover. Today America is a hollow shell of debt, entitlements, and gambling. The Alliance played its perhaps final, ultimate hand in masking the 2008 financial crisis and recession. Nothing was actually fixed. In fact things are worse now than they were then. Day by day the unraveling becomes more tangible. We’re about to enter uncharted territory that the experts say could destroy the economy (the same experts that helped get us here). A recession may be the best, mildest outcome. What comes after recession? Depression? Total collapse? A dark age?

Still the lying election rats say nothing. In there defense there isn’t much to say. Or do. It would be best to allow whatever scenario is coming just play out. Then we could rebuild. However, something tells me the charletons will try to make things just a little worse if they can.

Have fun watching the next debate.

stupid

Google.

News of the World, Good and Bad, Dec. 2, 2015

02 Wednesday Dec 2015

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on News of the World, Good and Bad, Dec. 2, 2015

Tags

America, Big Club, debt, economics, education, election, Georgia, government, guns, ISIS, ObamaCare, politicians, recession, terrorism, War

Some in Iraq think the U.S. government is in bed with ISIS. It is, unless it’s not – as complicated as it is dangerous and stupid. This apparently is what passes for foreign policy in the 21st Century. It all matches domestic economic policy.

At home the meddling is immeasurable. Upon getting around the pointless debt ceiling … again … the government ran up the national debt $674 Million – in one day.

The debt cost never stops growing. Neither does any other program costs. The fools at United Healthcare admit they didn’t imagine the costs of Obamacare would rise so high so fast. They, being part of the larcenous Big Club lobbied for the Act. Now they regret it. Fools.

Citi Group says we’re in for a recession next year. Next year they will say it started this year.

Retailers know we are depressed now. Black Friday sales were nearly dismal this year. Except for gun sales – they keep smashing records as intelligent Americans prepare for the inevitable. This offends the unintelligent, the criminals, and the left. Much of life offends them.

White college students nationwide, tired of being hated by the system merely because they exist, are organizing student unions. Liberal administrative leaches, “educators” and the rabble that passes for the student body are all so offended.

Having had enough of the crybabies and fake students, the President of Oklahoma Wesleyan University has told them to grow up and shut up. His words bear repeating in full (this is truly great):

This is Not a Day Care. It’s a University!

Dr. Everett Piper, President

Oklahoma Wesleyan University

This past week, I actually had a student come forward after a university chapel service and complain because he felt “victimized” by a sermon on the topic of 1 Corinthians 13. It appears that this young scholar felt offended because a homily on love made him feel bad for not showing love. In his mind, the speaker was wrong for making him, and his peers, feel uncomfortable.

I’m not making this up. Our culture has actually taught our kids to be this self-absorbed and narcissistic. Any time their feelings are hurt, they are the victims. Anyone who dares challenge them and, thus, makes them “feel bad” about themselves, is a “hater,” a “bigot,” an “oppressor,” and a “victimizer.”

I have a message for this young man and all others who care to listen. That feeling of discomfort you have after listening to a sermon is called a conscience. An altar call is supposed to make you feel bad. It is supposed to make you feel guilty. The goal of many a good sermon is to get you to confess your sins—not coddle you in your selfishness. The primary objective of the Church and the Christian faith is your confession, not your self-actualization.

So here’s my advice:

If you want the chaplain to tell you you’re a victim rather than tell you that you need virtue, this may not be the university you’re looking for. If you want to complain about a sermon that makes you feel less than loving for not showing love, this might be the wrong place.

If you’re more interested in playing the “hater” card than you are in confessing your own hate; if you want to arrogantly lecture, rather than humbly learn; if you don’t want to feel guilt in your soul when you are guilty of sin; if you want to be enabled rather than confronted, there are many universities across the land (in Missouri and elsewhere) that will give you exactly what you want, but Oklahoma Wesleyan isn’t one of them.

At OKWU, we teach you to be selfless rather than self-centered. We are more interested in you practicing personal forgiveness than political revenge. We want you to model interpersonal reconciliation rather than foment personal conflict. We believe the content of your character is more important than the color of your skin. We don’t believe that you have been victimized every time you feel guilty and we don’t issue “trigger warnings” before altar calls.

Oklahoma Wesleyan is not a “safe place”, but rather, a place to learn: to learn that life isn’t about you, but about others; that the bad feeling you have while listening to a sermon is called guilt; that the way to address it is to repent of everything that’s wrong with you rather than blame others for everything that’s wrong with them. This is a place where you will quickly learn that you need to grow up.

This is not a day care. This is a university!

OKWU might be the ideal place to go should you find yourself in the market for actual higher education. Impressive.

On the trivial but exciting side of “education” UGA is rumored to be higher Kirby Smart as its new head football coach. Mark Richt fans (legion) want him to consider running for governor of Georgia. I suspect he is too good a man to stoop down to the politicians’ level.

Speaking of the pols, there’s a big election looming. I’ll bet your favorite candidate has actionable plans ready to deal with all of these problems. That was a joke …

 

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Perrin Lovett

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

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