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PERRIN LOVETT

~ Deo Vindice

PERRIN LOVETT

Tag Archives: economy

You Can Fall Into the Net…

29 Wednesday Aug 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on You Can Fall Into the Net…

Tags

culture, economy, safety, society

Or they can throw it over you. A net, even of the “saaaaaafety” variety, can trap just easily as it can catch. Most miss that. See: This Story.

“There is such a need for safety nets, so many people are in this position,” she said.

The Urban Institute survey comes at a time when lawmakers are considering cuts to some safety-net programs, such as Medicaid, SNAP and housing assistance.

The researchers said that lawmakers run the risk of increasing the rate of hardship if they reduce support services.

It is the first study on the subject by the DC-based organization, which looks at economic and social policy issues. The institute plans to conduct the study every year to track the well-being of families as the economy and safety net systems evolve.

The problems are real but the root causes are frequently misidentified. The proposed solutions are always more of the same roots.

I should have a little more on the general lack of reasoning in this age of “post-literacy” via today’s TPC bit. That, then, here.

B-b-b-b but We Owe It to Ourselves…

27 Wednesday Jun 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

CBO, debt, disaster, economy, fuzzy math, government

The CBO, even with obscured numbers, sounds a warning bell on US debt load: Roll Call Story, here, in its entirety for ease of access:

Debt as a share of the United States economy is on track to blow through the previous World War II-era record within two decades and keep rising from there, the Congressional Budget Office said in its annual long-term budget report.

Generally assuming no change in current laws, growing budget deficits would push debt held by the public from the current level of 78 percent of the economy to almost 100 percent of gross domestic product by 2028, and to 152 percent of GDP by 2048, according to the agency.

“That amount would be the highest in the nation’s history by far,” said the report, which estimates the growth of spending and revenue over the next three decades as a share of the economy. The current record for debt as a share of GDP was set in 1946 when it hit 106 percent. Debt as a share of the economy is projected to exceed that level in fiscal 2034 under the latest projections, one year earlier than in last year’s long-term budget outlook.

CBO highlighted the role that rising interest costs will have, along with the growth of Social Security and Medicare.

In a statement distributed with the report, CBO Director Keith Hall said that by 2048, “as interest rates rise from their currently low levels and as debt accumulates, the federal government’s net interest costs are projected to more than double as a percentage of GDP and to reach record levels.”

Hall said interest costs would equal spending for Social Security, currently the largest federal program, by 2048.

CBO has long warned that rising debt poses a risk to the economy, and Hall made the point again Tuesday.

“The prospect of large and growing debt poses substantial risks for the nation and presents policymakers with significant challenges,” he said in the statement.

Under current law, revenue is projected to be relatively flat over the next few years in relation to GDP, rise slowly and then jump in 2026 after certain tax cuts expire.

“After 2026, revenues are projected to keep rising in relation to the size of economy — though not to keep pace with spending growth — mostly because of increases in individual income tax receipts,” Hall said.

Compared to last year’s report, CBO’s projections of debt growth are higher through 2041 and lower thereafter. The agency projects debt as a share of GDP would be 3 percentage points lower in 2047 than projected last year. The increase in debt through 2041 stems primarily from the tax overhaul, the two-year budget deal and the fiscal 2018 omnibus spending bill, the CBO said.

If Congress extends the individual tax cuts and several other tax provisions that are set to expire at the end of 2025, as many House Republicans want to do, debt would grow even faster, according to the CBO.

Debt held by the public. What, exactly, does that mean? According to the Treasury, it’s: “The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, Federal Reserve Banks, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.”

A refrain from the don’t-worry-about-it nitwits is that… Hold that a second. One notes, for all the dire and calamitous warning, the CBO reports no numerical dollar figures at all. Allow me to post some:

Gross federal government debt: $21.175+ Trillion (as of right now – the thing grows rapidly) (see: US Debt Clock);

Debt Held By the Public: call it $16 Trillion right now (St. Louis Fed.); and

US GDP (2018 est.): $18.5-ish Trillion (World Bank).

Okay, with that out of the way, a variety of idiots usually shrug their shoulders and murmur something like, “But, we owe it to ourselves. So what?” Rose-colored glasses are useless to the blind. Or the stupid.

One, with math skills not acquired in a Detroit public “school,” will notice that the Gross Debt already exceeds the GDP by  14+%. That’s bad. When, soon, and sooner than 2028, the Public Debt exceeds the GDP, things will be worse. We shall ignore TOTAL debt (all sources), unfunded liabilities, and future derivative betting bailouts as such surpasses the ridiculous for the purely hilarious.

Gross US Debt is a combination of Public Debt and Intragovernmental Debt: $21.175 T – $16.5 T = $4.675 T. Who owes what to whom, now? In a way, with the Intra Debt, we do owe it to ourselves. This assumes “we” own and control the government. “We” do not. But, if we did, or if we pretend we do, then there’s a little truth to it. And a little mystery. If we really owe it to ourselves, then why not cancel and dismiss it? We’d be in the same position, right? And, hey!, if we are the public, and the public holds the rest, then why not get rid of that too?

Because we are not the public. Individuals maybe. But notice that there’s also corporations, foreigners, other entities, and the private Federal Reserve. Therein lies the rub. The Fed is the reason all this debt (by any name) floats around. It’s how they make (a very, very, very good) living, by adding zeros in a computer. This simple trick allows political lowlifes easy money to buy votes and, thus, hold power. They, in turn, are happy to allow the banksters to grift away.

You’re not paying this off as that’s not the purpose. It’s not owed to you and, odds are, a few bonds aside, you don’t own any of it. But you will be on the hook. Some more figures:

Total Debt per person within the US:

Forget it. It’s more than you could pay however you slice it. And it’s meaningless. The point isn’t repayment. The point is enslavement. The entire US economy and most of the world is now absorbed into this system of fake, debt-based funny money. None of it is real, literally just being zeros in computers for me to recycle here. The elites make a profit and hold power based on lies and nothingness. The only thing real about it is the real labor stolen from you to make interest payments for the system.

If you’re an average American worker and taxpayer, then you devote a considerable part of your life and time to paying: taxes, a mortgage, and maybe other debts (car, education, cred cards). All of these payments are for alleged cash which never existed and never will. A grand and sick illusion.

Any money you have left over for living is devalued by the constant inflow of new funny money. See: Gresham’s Law. There’s a reason why the cost of everything keeps going up much faster than any raises you might receive. There’s a reason why people need 30-year mortgages. Why they need 7-year car loans. Why they finance increasingly useless degrees. Prices are artificially inflated.

The taxes pay for, in this order: welfare, warfare, interest on the debts, more welfare, some other BS, and, somewhere waaaay down the line, maybe a little needful governance.

This is a giant ripoff. In an economy based on real money, things would cost less, people would keep more money, and banksters and pols would have to seek honest work. As the whole system is bullshit and not intended to ever be paid off, the answer is simple. All the debt – all of it at all levels – should be repudiated. Cancel it. Heck, make it illegal to issue debt.

The “owe it to ourselves” crowd has no response to the common sense solution except a horrified resort to scare tactics. “That would crash the economy!” Maybe. For a short time. Then it would recover and improve – for real people. But, no, they’d prefer the long, slow bleeding we currently suffer. It kind of reminds me of the house slave reminding the field hands to keep singing. Enslavement with a smile.

If we really owe ourselves anything, then it’s honest reflection and, then, maybe a little righteous anger.

Or cat videos. A new tattoo. Some “reality” TeeVee. Whatever makes you sing happily.

hqdefault

Think this was abolished in 1865? Boondocks/YouTube.

Seeing Signs: ‘Suddenly” Realizing the Economy May Crack

29 Tuesday May 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Seeing Signs: ‘Suddenly” Realizing the Economy May Crack

Tags

economics, economy

The WSJ sees the signs, suddenly.

CBS reports on the sudden pension funds problems.

Even Soros suddenly sees a problem.

Must be a cray aberration. “Real” economists, of the Fed variety, reliably tell us the next downturn is at least a decade away (if we ever see another one).

Fed Notes Friday

23 Friday Feb 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Fed Notes Friday

Tags

Congress, economy, Federal Reserve

“Some people without brains do an awful lot of talking, don’t you think?” – L. Frank Baum, The Wizard of Oz.

So, today, a report from the Federal Reserve to Congress, from the brainless to the brain dead.

Federal Reserve policymakers see an economy that may be past full employment, financial market prices that are high and overall growth that continues to gather steam.

Those conditions remain appropriate for further interest rate increases, though inflation pressures remain fairly muted for now, according to a key report to Congress the central bank released Friday.

The monetary policy report provided a wide-ranging view of conditions for new Chairman Jerome Powell, who took the Fed’s reins earlier this month. Powell will present the report along with remarks during congressional testimony Tuesday.

“The FOMC expects that, with further gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will remain strong,” the report said, echoing language from prior Federal Open Market Committee meetings.

Translation: We still have absolutely no idea what we’re doing but things seem well regardless.

I sincerely hope this Friday afternoon finds you well.

On the Friday/Monday Market Correction

07 Wednesday Feb 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes, The Perrin Lovett Show

≈ Comments Off on On the Friday/Monday Market Correction

Tags

Economic collapse, economics, economy, money, Wall Street, Youtube

The first video interview for FP, with my old friend and investor Russell Wilder. Watch for insights on what moves the markets and how it affects your goals.

Perrin Lovett/FPTV/YouTube.

Remember to SUBSCRIBE on YT!

The whole article:

FP Exclusive Interview on the Stock Market Craziness

nimbus-image-1518021561267 - Edited.png

The Creature Speaks

05 Monday Feb 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

crazy, economics, economy, Federal Reserve, greedy banksters, Wall Street

Janet Yellen issued her final official interview as Fed Chairman: Lil High...

Janet Yellen ended her long career at the Federal Reserve with concerns over how high the stock market has surged under her watch.

The S&P 500 has soared 315 percent since the March 2009 bear market lows and about 53 percent since she took over as chair of the central bank in 2004.

Yellen said in an interview with CBS News that market valuations are the source of some concern as she headed into private life following a 14-year Fed career, the last four as the chair. She spoke as the market finally took a breather from what has been a breathtaking move higher, with the Dow industrials falling 666 points Friday.

“Well, I don’t want to say too high. But I do want to say high,” she said. “Price/earnings ratios are near the high end of their historical ranges.”

In addition to elevated equity prices, Yellen also said commercial real estate is “quite high” compared with rents.

Irrational exuberance is what it’s called. Hype and craziness not backed by reality. Stocks too damned high! 

Aunt Yellen speaks. 666. Not liking where this is going…

Wicked-Witch-of-the-FED-Janet-Yellen--112409

Says she’ll now devote more time to her monkeys… Freaking News.

But not to worry – another wise, Creature-approved acolyte of economic deception will be along Monday… The interests of the bankers are in good hands. And, it’s really them that matter the most, right?

Numerical Lay of America

15 Monday Jan 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

America, debt, economy, government, Numbers

One of those days, friends, one of those days. After some six months of success in self-medicating a minor mechanical problem, I wisely decided to check the old covert bug out vehicle into automotive convalescence. Prayers if you will, donations should you have them (only $500 will feed a starving Jeep…).

Anyway, I was all set to shoot a Hawaiian preppers video for FP. Tomorrow! And more collected and so forth – will post here.

I leave you with fond thoughts of the US Debt Clock.

nimbus-image-1516060741010

I consult these numbers from time to time. They sing a song, tell a story, for those willing to listen. Give them a try tonight.

Dobry vecer, priatelia.

Debtonomics

10 Wednesday Jan 2018

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Debtonomics

Tags

China, debt, economy

One side says the modern US economy is built upon little more than debt and threat of force.

Another side says things are fine, the Fed knows what its doing, and everything is supported by real value.

(Other sides say things too.)

Of the first two sides, which might be worried about the following headline?

China is reportedly thinking of halting US Treasury purchases and that’s worrying markets

“If China stops buying Treasuries, the market could suffer,” strategists at Jefferies said. “Treasury financing needs are going to rise significantly in 2018 and beyond relative to recent history, so Treasury is going to be looking for as many sources of demand as they can find.”

The news worried markets.

Treasury prices fell, boosting yields. The dollar also dropped against most currencies and gold rose. U.S. equities declined.

Hmmm. How can this be? Things are fine. They know what they’re doing.

One might almost think the debt does matter after all.

Goldman Say What?

29 Wednesday Nov 2017

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

cigars, economy, Goldman Sachs

Even The Goldman Sachs sees clouds forming:

A prolonged bull market across stocks, bonds and credit has left a measure of average valuation at the highest since 1900, a condition that at some point is going to translate into pain for investors, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“It has seldom been the case that equities, bonds and credit have been similarly expensive at the same time, only in the Roaring ’20s and the Golden ’50s,” Goldman Sachs International strategists including Christian Mueller-Glissman wrote in a note this week. “All good things must come to an end” and “there will be a bear market, eventually” they said.

As central banks cut back their quantitative easing, pushing up the premiums investors demand to hold longer-dated bonds, returns are “likely to be lower across assets” over the medium term, the analysts said. A second, less likely, scenario would involve “fast pain.” Stock and bond valuations would both get hit, with the mix depending on whether the trigger involved a negative growth shock, or a growth shock alongside an inflation pick-up.

I suppose fast pain beats slow and tortuous.

In related news, there was a large cigar:

IMG_20171126_124415057_HDR

A VERY large cigar.

IMG_20171126_124415057_HDR - Edited

Yikes!

Quarter Trillion $ Trio: How the Rich Get Richer

09 Thursday Nov 2017

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Quarter Trillion $ Trio: How the Rich Get Richer

Tags

Amazon, economy, Federal Reserve, fiat money, money, the poor, the rich

Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, and Warren Buffett have a combined wealth greater than the poorest half of all Americans. Three men with more money than 160 million other people in the same country.

The three richest people in the US – Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos and Warren Buffett – own as much wealth as the bottom half of the US population, or 160 million people.

Analysis of the wealth of America’s richest people found that Gates, Bezos and Buffett were sitting on a combined $248.5bn (£190bn) fortune. The Institute for Policy Studies said the growing gap between rich and poor had created a “moral crisis”.

In a report, the Billionaire Bonanza, the thinktank said Donald Trump’s tax change proposals would “exacerbate existing wealth disparities” as 80% of tax benefits would end up going to the wealthiest 1% of households.

“Wealth inequality is on the rise,” said Chuck Collins, an economist and co-author of the report. “Now is the time for actions that reduce inequality, not tax cuts for the very wealthy.”

The study found that the billionaires included in Forbes magazine’s list of the 400 richest people in the US were worth a combined $2.68tn – more than the gross domestic product (GDP) of the UK.

“Our wealthiest 400 now have more wealth combined than the bottom 64% of the US population, an estimated 80m households or 204 million people,” the report says. “That’s more people than the population of Canada and Mexico combined.”

The report says the “billionaire class” continues to “pull apart from the rest of us” at the fastest rate ever recorded. “We have not witnessed such extreme levels of concentrated wealth and power since the first gilded age a century ago.”

3000

David McNew/Getty/The Guardian.

This isn’t a piece on class envy – at least not mine is not. Who knows what the trained squirrels at the Guardian were up to. If this money were earned honestly, then there would be no problem, regardless of any “inequality”, real or fancied.

Some, many of whom are hoarse from howling at the moon last night, might propose to seize all of this wealth and redistribute it. Unlike Scrooge McDuck, these three real characters do not have $250 Billion in gold coins and cash in the basement of some mega mansion. It’s (almost all of it) invested in their companies and earning more money while created goods, jobs, and services. It’s not liquid. Taking it would collapse a sizable portion of the economy. Killing the goose … all for $1,500 per poorer half class member. Once…

Stick to the helpless screaming, SJWs.

The rest of you know I am (mostly) concerned with the truth. So, what is the truth behind Gates, Bezos, and Buffett?

Bill Gates became filthy rich by selling software. My perspective dictates the products are second-rate at best, a bill of goods bought from a high-class carny. Yet they remain extremely popular. The people get what they think they want. Gates gets richer. Okay.

Bezos runs Amazon. Some say this business is a modern monopoly, responsible for killing all the bookstores of the world. I have a vested interest here. Periodically Amazon sends me money for book sales. The checks are small but they do come. Thus, in my view, Saint Bezos and his beautiful creation can do no wrong. I wish them success as this directly benefits me. If you don’t like that, then you probably don’t read and, therefore, don’t really have a dog in the fight. Bugger off.

Buffett is held forth as the ultimate investor. Making and creating Billion$ while humbly living in the same small house for 50 years, the paragon of Wall Street virtue. That’s part of the truth.

The other part involves his direct manipulation of the economy. Watch the following video for a funny analysis of how this works (a cartoon, no less – for the people!):

Malekanoms/YouTube.

First, for the ardent pendatrists, consider the cloud cover in the cartoon. How is that consistent with the digital trees??? What say your television shows?

Now. If you happen to consider the substance, then know this: what Buffet and a few others do is not technically illegal. It should be as should be the whole central banking scheme. However, since we’re past the days of the law, why not make money (take money) from the existing corrupt system?

That’s where the problem lies. And howling at the moon, beating the bongos, and voting will not fix it.

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Perrin Lovett

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

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