• About
  • Blog (Ext.)
  • Books
  • Contact
  • Education Resources
  • News Links

PERRIN LOVETT

~ Deo Vindice

PERRIN LOVETT

Tag Archives: economics

No Debt, No US Economy

01 Sunday Sep 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

≈ Comments Off on No Debt, No US Economy

Tags

debt, deep decline, economics

This isn’t an addiction. This is what formation by debt looks like.

To get this somewhat dystopian measure, Bloomberg took each economy’s 2020 GDP as projected by the International Monetary Fund as a starting point. We then adjusted the number by removing the ability to borrow, while adding reserves to create an alternative wealth measure.

U.S. per capita income of $66,900 would be slashed to a negative $4,857 using this measure. That’s a total loss of almost $72,000 for every man, woman and child.

But, don’t worry!

Luckily for Americans, a debt-free economy is unlikely to happen anytime soon. Even with growing trade wars against China and others, and the Trump administration’s projected $1 trillion budget deficit in fiscal 2020, the U.S. debt market allows for ample liquidity and the U.S. dollar is considered the world’s reserve currency.

Well, thank God for that!

Happy September. I’m looking forward to Fall. Not the economic collapse. Just Autumn.

Another Emergency?

26 Monday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

≈ Comments Off on Another Emergency?

Tags

China, economics, emergency, tariffs, Trump

This one, maybe, kinda, sorta, with China.

President Donald Trump said Sunday he could declare the escalating U.S.-China trade war as a national emergency if he wanted to.

“In many ways this is an emergency,” Trump said at the G-7 leaders meeting of the ongoing trade battle between the world’s top two economies.

“I could declare a national emergency, I think when they steal and take out and intellectual property theft anywhere from $300 billion to $500 billion a year and when we have a total lost of almost a trillion dollars a year for many years,” Trump said, adding that he had no plan right now to call for a national emergency.

“Actually we are getting along very well with China right now, we are talking. I think they want to make a deal much more than I do. I’m getting a lot of money in tariffs its coming in by the billions. We’ve never gotten 10 cents from China, so we will see what happens.”

Maybe “coming in by the billions” is like deporting by the millions?! And hey, what’s another emergency?

Sorcery Looks a lot like Lying

22 Thursday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Sorcery Looks a lot like Lying

Tags

economics, sorcery

The US economy is so strong that half a million jobs are fake. These people just throw numbers and words are the wall…

Turns out hiring wasn’t nearly as strong in 2018 and early 2019 as the government initially reported — by about a half-million jobs.

The economy had about 501,000 fewer jobs as of March 2019 than the Bureau of Labor Statistics initially calculated in its survey of business establishments. That’s the largest revision since the waning stages of the Great Recession in 2009.

The newly revised figures indicate the economy didn’t get a huge boost last year from President Trump’s tax cuts and higher federal spending. They also signal the economy is a bit weaker than previously believed and could give the Federal Reserve even greater reason to cut interest rates in September.

“This makes some sense, as the 223,000 average monthly increase in 2018 seemed too good to be true in light of how tight the labor market has become and how much trouble firms are said to be having finding qualified workers,” said chief economist Stephen Stanley of Amherst Pierpont Securities.

Yeah. Seemed too good to be true. Anyway, more bullshit next week to make it all better!

Really Trying to Get it Right

20 Tuesday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

≈ Comments Off on Really Trying to Get it Right

Tags

book review, collapse, economics

Daniel Markovits of Yale Law has a new book coming out. It may be interesting. The following is a snippet, pre-release:

The main obstacle to overcoming meritocratic inequality is not technical but political. Today’s conditions induce discontent and widespread pessimism, verging on despair. In his book Oligarchy, the political scientist Jeffrey A. Winters surveys eras in human history from the classical period to the 20th century, and documents what becomes of societies that concentrate income and wealth in a narrow elite. In almost every instance, the dismantling of such inequality has been accompanied by societal collapse, such as military defeat (as in the Roman empire) or revolution (as in France and Russia).

Nevertheless, there are grounds for hope. History does present one clear-cut case of an orderly recovery from concentrated inequality: In the 1920s and ’30s, the U.S. answered the Great Depression by adopting the New Deal framework that would eventually build the mid-century middle class. Crucially, government redistribution was not the primary engine of this process. The broadly shared prosperity that this regime established came, mostly, from an economy and a labor market that promoted economic equality over hierarchy—by dramatically expanding access to education, as under the GI Bill, and then placing mid-skilled, middle-class workers at the center of production.

An updated version of these arrangements remains available today; a renewed expansion of education and a renewed emphasis on middle-class jobs can reinforce each other. The elite can reclaim its leisure in exchange for a reduction of income and status that it can easily afford. At the same time, the middle class can regain its income and status and reclaim the center of American life.

Rebuilding a democratic economic order will be difficult. But the benefits that economic democracy brings—to everyone—justify the effort. And the violent collapse that will likely follow from doing nothing leaves us with no good alternative but to try.

Even “liberals” are sensing the problem. He’s on to something, a little late, about the conditions and the rigging. He’s off about the solution, I think. But, he grasps that violence is coming. That, I think is now unavoidable – partly because of the changes that Markovits hints around but doesn’t address (this ain’t the country it was in 1962). I do like his optimism though. Maybe consider the read in September.

 

The Fed’s Cool New Tool!

12 Monday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

banks, economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery

Introducing the amazing new Countercyclical Capital Buffer!!!!!!

Federal Reserve officials are weighing whether to use a tool that could reduce the risk of a credit crunch in a downturn.

The tool is known as the countercyclical capital buffer. It allows the Fed to require banks to hold more loss-absorbing capital should the economy show signs of overheating, or to keep less of it during bad economic times. The buffer applies generally to banks with more than $250 billion in assets, including firms such as JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc.

The Fed’s board of governors so far hasn’t used the tool, approved in 2016. Its rule on the buffer says it should turn it up when economic risks are “meaningfully above normal” and reduced when they “abate or lessen.”

Now, some Fed officials are debating whether it is time to use the tool, which could provide banks with additional lending firepower in a subsequent downturn. It isn’t clear when they might make a decision.

I have obtained an exclusive image of this cool new tool:

Screenshot 2019-08-12 at 10.35.26 AM

The Times…

10 Saturday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on The Times…

Tags

changes, economics, politics

They’re REALLY changing. More stuff the media never reports.

The consequences of past actions and the imminent failure of a global paradigm that’s dominated human existence for decades can no longer be delayed. They’re coming to the fore as I write this and yet all the media and most people can focus on are the symptoms of failure. Past events lead to future events and there are in fact consequences for irresponsible actions. The various things people panic about on a daily basis are typically symptoms that can be traced back to a macro system failure, but nobody wants to talk about that. It’s too big, too daunting and seemingly impossible to fix absent collapse.

Yet outrage, anger and a cry to “do something” about symptoms of a much bigger problem will only result in an even more entrenched surveillance state going forward. Focusing on symptoms is not just short-sighted and a waste of energy, but it’s also likely to lead toward more authoritarian solutions and tendencies over time. Misdiagnosing a disease can be as deadly for a civilization as it can be for an individual.

Say! Isn’t there a swell election coming next year? That’ll be your chance to fix everything, once and forever. And, I think football run until then, so it’s all good, right?

Destroy the Economy to Save it

06 Tuesday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Destroy the Economy to Save it

Tags

bubble, economics, Federal Reserve, Wall Street

Financial sorcery at work.

“The American lifestyle and economy depend on a vast number of implicit guarantees — systemic forms of entitlement that we implicitly feel are our birthright,” he wrote in a post on Monday. “Chief among these implicit entitlements is the Federal Reserve can always save the day.”

In either an inflationary spiral or deflationary collapse of self-reinforcing defaults, Smith warned that the Fed’s “save” would destroy the economy.

“Other than the phantom ‘wealth’ of real estate and stock bubbles, the vast majority of the ‘wealth’ generated by the Fed’s actions of the past 20 years has flowed to the top 0.1%,” he said. “This will become self-evident once the phantom gains of speculative bubbles vanish.”

Nah. Good times are here to stay – forever…

Fiat Dark Magic has a Price

03 Saturday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Fiat Dark Magic has a Price

Tags

debt, economics, middle class, sorcery, WSJ

The sorcery will continue until society collapses.

The American middle class is falling deeper into debt to maintain a middle-class lifestyle.

Cars, college, houses and medical care have become steadily more costly, but incomes have been largely stagnant for two decades, despite a recent uptick. Filling the gap between earning and spending is an explosion of finance into nearly every corner of the consumer economy.

Consumer debt, not counting mortgages, has climbed to $4 trillion—higher than it has ever been even after adjusting for inflation. Mortgage debt slid after the financial crisis a decade ago but is rebounding.

Student debt totaled about $1.5 trillion last year, exceeding all other forms of consumer debt except mortgages.

Auto debt is up nearly 40% adjusting for inflation in the last decade to $1.3 trillion. And the average loan for new cars is up an inflation-adjusted 11% in a decade, to $32,187, according to an analysis of data from credit-reporting firm Experian.

Unsecured personal loans are back in vogue, the result of competition between technology-savvy lenders and big banks for borrowers and loan volume.

The debt surge is partly by design, a byproduct of low borrowing costs the Federal Reserve engineered after the financial crisis to get the economy moving. It has reshaped both borrowers and lenders. Consumers increasingly need it, companies increasingly can’t sell their goods without it, and the economy, which counts on consumer spending for more than two-thirds of GDP, would struggle without a plentiful supply of credit.

Excellent piece from the WSJ. Read the whole thing. Stunning admissions (with and without inflation tricks). And, the graphs…

“By design.” It’s really the same as any other carnival trick: wow the masses, and separate them from their money.

For voters… the only candidate talking about any of this is crazy uncle Bernie, who by design, cannot win.

The BBQ Barometer

02 Friday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

≈ 2 Comments

Tags

BBQ, decline, economics, Lowes, recession

Outsourcing, along with obesity, usury, and sodomy, is one of those Amerikan values we keep hearing about. One more desperate way to wring a little more out before the end. This time, with Lowes.

Lowe’s Co LOW -1.88% s. told thousands of store workers this week their jobs were being eliminated as the company outsourced tasks such as assembling barbecue grills and janitorial services.

The home-improvement chain notified maintenance staff and assemblers that put together grills, wheelbarrows and other products that they were being laid off, according to the company and employees. Those roles will be taken over by third-party companies.

Each of Lowe’s roughly 1,800 U.S. stores has several staff members doing these jobs. Laid off employees, including full-time staff with years of service, aren’t being paid severance. Instead they are being offered “transition pay” totaling up to about two weeks for full-time workers, one employee said. All workers are able to reapply for open positions with the company, employees said, but aren’t guaranteed the same hourly pay.

Lowe’s employed 190,000 full-time and 110,000 part-time workers as of Feb. 1.

“We are moving to third-party assemblers and facility services to allow Lowe’s store associates to spend more time on the sales floor serving customers,” said a spokeswoman for Lowe’s.

Really? This one caught my eye because, a year to two back, I bought a pre-assembled floor model BBQ grill from Lowes. The guy who helped me, the customer, ON THE FLOOR, was the same dude who had assembled the grill. Now, he’s competing for another job? Who’ll do his? Robots? Illegals? Calling BS on this one. BBQ-S.

Utterly Confused

01 Thursday Aug 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

≈ Comments Off on Utterly Confused

Tags

confusion, depression, economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery, Wall Street

It’s so hard to predict where the sorcery will go next.

Major Wall Street economists were largely in agreement that the Federal Reserve would cut rates by a quarter point heading into the second day of its two-day meeting on Wednesday afternoon.

But after a confusing news conference by the Fed chief, their forecasts for future rate policy are now all over the place.

The Fed cut its key interest rate by a quarter-point for the first time since 2008. But then Powell said after that this was just a “midcycle adjustment,” causing the stock market to drop and rates to firm.

The middle of the greatest “bull market” in human history, when (fake) money is surely in high demand, is just the time to cut interest rates! Let me tell you… What will the Fed do next? Cut ’em again. Again, after that if necessary. They’ll take it as low as they can – and, there is no downward limit – in an attempt to keep the ride going just a little longer. I think they have one of those toy eight balls to help guide their deliberations. Voodoo is more science than art, you know.

← Older posts
Newer posts →

Perrin Lovett

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

Perrin Lovett at:

Perrin on Geopolitical Affairs:

Archives

  • March 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020
  • November 2020
  • October 2020
  • September 2020
  • August 2020
  • July 2020
  • June 2020
  • May 2020
  • April 2020
  • March 2020
  • February 2020
  • January 2020
  • December 2019
  • November 2019
  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2019
  • January 2019
  • December 2018
  • November 2018
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • June 2018
  • May 2018
  • April 2018
  • March 2018
  • February 2018
  • January 2018
  • December 2017
  • November 2017
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • May 2017
  • April 2017
  • March 2017
  • February 2017
  • January 2017
  • December 2016
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • April 2016
  • March 2016
  • February 2016
  • January 2016
  • December 2015
  • November 2015
  • October 2015
  • September 2015
  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • May 2015
  • April 2015
  • March 2015
  • February 2015
  • January 2015
  • July 2014
  • June 2014
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • February 2013
  • June 2012

Prepper Post News Podcast by Freedom Prepper (sadly concluded, but still archived!)

Blog at WordPress.com.

  • Subscribe Subscribed
    • PERRIN LOVETT
    • Join 42 other subscribers
    • Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
    • PERRIN LOVETT
    • Subscribe Subscribed
    • Sign up
    • Log in
    • Report this content
    • View site in Reader
    • Manage subscriptions
    • Collapse this bar
 

Loading Comments...
 

You must be logged in to post a comment.