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PERRIN LOVETT

~ Deo Vindice

PERRIN LOVETT

Tag Archives: economics

This is Becoming Tiresome

24 Thursday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

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debt, economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery

Just the other evening, I was talking to MB about some TPC business. I relayed that I was tired of the daily dose of debt news from the WSJ – every day bringing another installment of the REPO BUCKS game as if it was something completely new. Then, today, the announcements changed.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is boosting the amount of temporary liquidity it is willing to make available to financial markets starting this week, the bank said on Wednesday.

It said that as of Thursday, the minimum size of its overnight repurchase-agreement, or repo, operations will rise to $120 billion, from what had been at least $75 billion. Longer-term operations will rise from a minimum daily offering size of $35 billion and go up to $45 billion in interventions scheduled for Thursday and Oct. 29.

Do the math! Now, every single day, they can (and will) add $165 Billion in fake money for the banks. Why? Honestly, who cares? How long will this continue? Who cares? $165 Bn is the near-equivalent of the entire nominal GDP just 100 years ago. Every day.

Sorcery.

Likely to Get Much Worse…

23 Wednesday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

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economics, economy, Federal Reserve, sorcery

The narcotic references speak for themselves.

“The repo market has been drugged into submission by the Fed,” said Jim Bianco, head of Bianco Research. “That’s fine for a while. But what I am getting concerned about is that they’re not figuring a way to get it off the drug and get it back to normal, and that will be a problem longer term for them.”

Investors have long complained about the Fed hand-holding the market, injecting trillions of dollars in liquidity and keeping interest rates artificially low during and after the financial crisis.

This is a different situation, though.

Rather than looking to goose the economy back to health, the Fed is now using its balance sheet to make sure banks have enough reserves and an adequate amount of capital is flowing through the system to keep things running efficiently. The effort also is aimed at keeping the Fed’s own overnight funds rate within the 25 basis point target range it employs.

It’s like an addict who has to keep getting the fix, not for a new high, but to keep from going into withdrawals. This is your economy. This is your economy on sorcery.

RPC explains that this is a global and system-wide issue.

Today central banks not only support bond prices by heavy purchases, they do the same thing in the equity market. The Bank of Japan, for example, owns 77.5% of Japan’s ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) market, having bought nearly 23 trillion yen of the ETF market since 2013. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-economy-boj/kuroda-defends-japan-central-banks-etf-buying-sees-no-near-term-exit-idUSKBN1O602Q

The Federal Reserve owns assets equal to 20% of US GDP. The European Central Bank owns assets equal to 40% of the euro-zone economy. The Bank of Japan’s asset hoard now exceeds the Japanese economy in size. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-13/bank-of-japan-s-hoard-of-assets-is-now-bigger-than-the-economy

With this background, we can now get on with the story.

For a decade we have had a stock market based on (1) the profits from lower labor costs by producing offshore the goods and services corporations sell to Americans, thereby destroying the American middle class and the tax base of cities and states, (2) the use of corporate profits for buying back the corporations’ stock, and by borrowing to buy back stock, thus decapitalizing the corporations in order to support stock prices, managerial bonuses and shareholder capital gains, and (3) Quantitative Easing (QE) which pumped trillions of dollars into US financial markets, thus pushing up the prices of financial assets. If the money the Federal Reserve created in order to support the solvency of the “banks too big to fail” had gone into the economy, hyperinflation in consumer prices would have been the result. Instead the money caused inflation in the prices of financial assets, and this is the explanation of why a small percentage of people—shareholders—have accumulated most of the gains in income and wealth.

The extraordinary increase in the inequality of incomes in the United States is the consequence of using economic policy to support the New York Banks, which has meant supporting the prices of the bad assets on their balance sheets.

In America today truth gets no respect from anyone whether right, left, liberal, conservative, Democrat, Republican. The idiot Hillary has alleged that the only sane Democrat—Tulsi Gabbard— is a Russian agent! It blows the mind. And the presstitutes treat the absurd allegation as if it is a fact.

Right on all counts. The sorcery has begotten inequality that begins to look like slavery. Most people seem okay, at present, with the situation. One wonders when and how that will change. Ask any addict – the crash always comes.

Enter the Sag: “This cycle is fading”

18 Friday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

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debt, depression, economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery, the great sag

The sorcery has its limits. Ray Dalio says we’ve found them.

Hedge fund owner Ray Dalio said the global business cycle is in a “great sag” and the world’s economy holds at least two parallels to the 1930s.

Speaking a CNBC-moderated panel at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Washington, D.C. on Thursday, Dalio said it was now too late for central banks to make much difference as economies enter a natural downturn.

“This cycle is fading, we are now in the world in what I would call a ‘great sag’,” said Dalio, adding that monetary policy, and especially interest rate reductions, were unlikely to offer much stimulus.

“Europe is at the limitation of that, Japan is (too) and the U.S. doesn’t have much to go on for that,” he told CNBC’s Geoff Cutmore.

Dalio said the world was also experiencing the biggest wealth gap since the 1930s and that was creating political stress.

He goes on to mention geopolitical war. One or more of those may strike a little closer to home than most would think possible. It’s not going to be pretty, but it is survivable. Now, what was the ancient punishment for sorcery? As the cycle fades, may the fires rise.

The Check’s in the Mail

17 Thursday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

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Tags

debt, economics, sad...

Great news, Amerika! You’re each and all $9,432 richer this year! Thanks, Sorcerers!

The federal debt increased by $1,203,343,570,253.55 in fiscal 2019, according to data released by the U.S. Treasury Department.

That equaled approximately $9,432 for each of the 127,586,000 households the Census Bureau estimated were in the United States in 2018.

In the decade that began on the first day of fiscal 2010 and ended on the last day of fiscal 2019, the federal debt increased by $10,809,572,749,922—for an average of $1,080,957,274,992.20 per year.

Remember, we owe this to ourselves. So, think of what you can buy when your cash comes in. Uh, but please don’t think about how this owing it to us stuff works. Some thoughts are not meant to be.

Another College Post

13 Sunday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Other Columns

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college, economics, education, fraud

Bill Sardi comments on the continuing and worsening scam of college education. He particularly concentrates on economics.

Free college education is now being handed out to high school graduates and will lead to the ruination of many unwary young Americans.

Here is what happens when higher education becomes commoditized:

Having redefined my definition of “Americans” to only include Americans, I’m tempted to say they’re already ruined, young or old. He goes with twelve very good reasons why what passes for the college experience is generally a waste for most people, again centering on the moneyed aspects. He’s 99.999% right.

As for the debts that will never be repaid, just remember that the Fed, in the past two weeks, has created more than enough fiat to get rid of all student loans. Or, do we owe those to ourselves too?

More on the Financial Sorcery Madness – from TPC

10 Thursday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns, News and Notes

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economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery, TPC

REPO-ing the Economy

 

The economy is roaring along. Record low unemployment. Banks have never been stronger. DOW is way up there somewhere. Everything is fine. Go back to sleep. Kindly ignore the constant hum from the printing presses down in the Financial District. 

Consider this a sequel to my September 24th column on the same subject. That was like a long time ago. You’ve probably forgotten. Waaay back then, starting on September 16th, the New York Fed announced they were injecting just a tiny bit of extra cash into the [VERY HEALTHY AND IN NO WAY ABOUT TO COLLAPSE] commercial banks. “Tiny bit” could have been estimated at around $2 Trillion. Could have. Who, honestly, knows? The program was supposed to last until October Tenth. But why cut short such a good thing?

Now, it’s going to run through and until November Fourth. Fifty days of free fiat funny money. Fifty days. At one-hundred and five billion dollars per day. That’s … let’s see, Gawd… Okay, 105 x 50 = … Hang on… I get … gonna run this straight out, numerically: $5,250,000,000,000. That’s just a shit ton of… Oh! Hang on, again. They’ve attempted to obfuscate with the REPO BUCKS!!! (like a lottery game, but where the ticket is forced upon you and you have to pay out the jackpot…). Something about, in addition to a flat daily grafting of $75 Bn, another $35 Bn, but only twice a week, unless the moon is full. Originally, it was $30 Bn… It’s still… 

Well, hell! The “zero” button on my calculator broke. 

How on Earth do we explain this??? I thought a little ditty appropriate:

…

Complete coverage at TPC!

Even Hellywood Notices the Sorcery

09 Wednesday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

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corporations, debt, economics, Hellywood, sorcery

Odd, I know. One class of wizards observes another. “Out of control.”

A ripple of anxiety ran through Wall Street on Sept. 9 when Jay Clayton, chairman of the SEC, warned that corporate debt now stands at $11 trillion, half the annual gross domestic product of the United States. “Should we be cognizant of the growth in corporate debt, who holds that debt and the potential ramifications for our markets and our economy?” Clayton asked. “Of course we should.”

His warning was timely for Hollywood, coming just a couple of weeks before Endeavor Group Holdings CEO Ari Emanuel pulled the plug Sept. 26 on an initial public offering that investors had regarded warily because of his company’s staggering debt of $4.6 billion.

Yeah, poor, satanic Hellywood… Maybe the one faction should have consulted with the other? Just as the government debt dooms the state, the corporate debt dooms those artificial government-created entities. When they all fall, not much will be left standing. It’s like when Apprentice Mickey unleashed heck, but with no “good” wizard standing by to fix things – and real, not a cartoon. Speaking of, hopefully, this will bring the end of  Devil Mouse, Inc.

Repo the Domino

08 Tuesday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in News and Notes

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cash, debt, economics, Federal Reserve, sorcery

These things are coming almost too fast to keep up with. My TPC column, which will be published after I schedule this post, though not necessarily before the post hits, is called “Repo-ing the Economy.” It’s more about the fun and games of the Fed’s dark sorcery. Now, this.

Some investors are concerned that recent turmoil in a key short-term cash market where banks borrow to fund operations could exacerbate difficulties trading bonds.

Spikes in the cost of overnight loans using repurchase agreements, or repos, could hit bond trading in two ways, investors and analysts said. Rising repo rates make it more expensive for securities dealers to borrow money and to hold government bonds—actions they take frequently to facilitate client trades and manage their risks.

In the repo market, where banks and money-market mutual funds typically lend cash for periods as short as one night in exchange for safe collateral such as Treasurys, rates surged as high as 10% last month from about 2.25% amid an unexpected shortage of available cash in the financial system.

Couple this with what’s going on with China’s cash crash and you get the feeling that a global financial meltdown is upon us – now, not in the future. Bank run, anyone?

The Vanishing Independent Grocery Store

06 Sunday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Other Columns

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Americana, economics, green space chickens, grocery stores, rural

This PEW article made me remember that I always love finding a small, local market. Finding them is getting harder.

“There are six towns east of here — they just lost the grocery store, then they lost the gas station, and then they lost the bank and now they’re nothing.”

Some states are trying to tackle their rural grocery gaps. Supporters of such efforts point to tax incentives and subsidies at various levels of government that have enabled superstores to service larger areas and squeeze out local independent grocers. Now, dollar stores are opening in rural regions and offering items at lower prices, posing direct competition to local groceries.

Critics see that development as a threat to public health, since dollar stores typically lack quality meat and fresh produce.

But every town and every store is different, making statewide solutions elusive. Some legislators say they are reluctant to intervene too heavily because the market should close the gaps.

The market will close the gaps (or force people out of them). But, there’s the nostalgia issue. Can’t really recall the last little independent that I ventured into. I can easily think of a bunch that no longer exist.

The article rambles on into ag and tax policy, etc. In some areas I imagine not much will work at all. Way out in the country, it’s a mixed bag. Few people, few stores. Then again, out in the country is where the food grows. Garden? Chickens?

And the “Money” Just Flows…

05 Saturday Oct 2019

Posted by perrinlovett in Legal/Political Columns

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banksters, crime, economics, Federal Reserve, NY, sorcery

From the sorcery. More and more and more Fed funny money! For the banks, not you.

The New York Federal Reserve Bank said Friday it will continue to inject billions into the US financial plumbing on a daily basis through November 4, extending the operations by three weeks.

The effort, begun in mid-September, is aimed at preventing a spike in short-term interest rates, the New York Fed said in a statement.

Rates spiked last month as banks struggled to find the cash needed to meet reserve requirements, prompting the Fed to pump billions into US money markets.

It announced daily operations which were due to end October 10, but even then demand exceeded supply on some days.

In Friday’s announcement, the New York Fed said it will continue to offer up to $75 billion a day in repurchase agreements — exchanging secure assets for cash for very short periods — as well as 14-day “repo” operations twice a week of at least $35 billion each.

Economists say an array of conditions converged to dry up liquidity in the banking system — including quarterly corporate tax payments and a surge in government debt sold to investors, which drained cash out of banks.

Like I said the other week: The dog ate my liquidity, Mrs. Wall Street!

Seriously, this is serious. My calculator’s “zero” button broke. What are they shooting for? $3 Trillion? $4 Tr? 5??? The Moon? And, does this possibly have an end? Other than the inevitable, I mean.

Might have a TPC column lining up here.

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Perrin Lovett

From Green Altar Books, an imprint of Shotwell Publishing

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