Monthly Archives: April 2022

Forecasting a Le Pen Victory

12 Tuesday Apr 2022

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France, you had better hope and pray this math is correct.

The average sampled Macron victory margin is about -6%, which also translates into winning about 7% of the time! I also computed a poor-man’s estimate of the vote share, adjusting for our model misspecification (not summing to 100%). This results in a predicted Le Pen % of 53.7% for the best guess.

53% is razor-thin, but it’s the best chance you’ll have. Don’t wait another 5 years. Begin the reconquest now.

The Exceptional Nation

11 Monday Apr 2022

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It’s just a vague idea, a proposition, really. Something in da CoNsTuITiOn!!! But the USSA really is very special. See the track record!

Data shows that from the end of WWII to 2001, the US initiated 201 of the 248 armed conflicts worldwide in 153 locations, accounting for over 80 percent of total conflicts.

This is, along with the financial vampirism and the anti-culture, is why the rest of the world is sick and tired and ready to be damned done with the Werewest.

Of course, at least the empire hasn’t started any wars since 2001, right? I mean not lately, lately. Like in Ukraine or anywhere.

Radio Free Mariupol

09 Saturday Apr 2022

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This should be very interesting.

“The joint operation of the troops of the Donetsk People’s Republic and units of the Russian armed forces to liberate the city of Mariupol continues. The results of an analysis of radio intercepts show that in addition to neo-Nazi elements from the Azov regiment and the remnants of the Ukrainian armed forces, a significant number of foreign mercenaries are located in the occupied areas of the city,” Konashenkov said in a briefing Friday evening.

“In addition to Ukrainian and Russian, radio communications are being carried out in six other mainly European foreign languages,” the officer said.

This isn’t the first rumor I’ve read or heard about important foreigners at Azovstal. If the Russians wanted to, they could have already long since flattened the place. Who could be hiding there? Might one of those mostly Euro languages be English? And, we’ve already heard they have several MI6/CIA types in custody and prepped to stand trial in Crimea. Curious.

And, on a related note, I have no doubt that Crazy Boris’s trip to “Kyiv” never happened. Desperate times call for desperate lies, eh?

UPDATE: ZATO militants trapped like rats story is double or triple confirmed. I’m sure Brandon, Boris, and Nuland have a PR plan for this, no worries.

The Russian Way of War

08 Friday Apr 2022

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More reading, sorry.

THE RUSSIAN WAY OF WAR, Grau and Bartles, 2016, is an intelligent, well-researched eye-opener. More modernization has happened in the six years since it was published but it paints a very accurate picture. Also, as to the ongoing liberation of DPR-LRP-Ukraine, for the authors’ mention of the retention of the Prussian, they may not provide the best explanation of the Prussian’s, Clausewitz’s, (accurate German) warfare with (not by) other means. That matter, the Russian execution thereof has somewhat baffled the likes of Dr. Roberts and me; however, such strategies – and their obvious success – are on contemporary display.

A fine book for those who want to know.

Z!

The Division of the World

07 Thursday Apr 2022

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This chart, with the votes for, against, and in abstention of kicking RUS out of the fake human rights committee in Geneva says it all. Or most of it.

Almost all of the yellow abstentions can or may be counted as favoring the Russia-China anti-globalist alliance. A few of the green votes, like Hungary and Serbia, are likely false displays of virtue. Do look at the heavy-hitters like Brazil and India and whom they are standing with (or, at least, not standing against). In this context, green = satanists, and red (with much yellow) = Christians and noble pagans. It’s really time to pick a side.